The models have been adamant showing either Harvey or Irene developing in the open Atlantic and slowly heading toward the Domincan Republic (Hispaniola). From there, its too far out to say whether an incoming trough can pick it up, nudge it north some degree, or totally bypass it and allow it to continue west toward Cuba or southern Florida. Either way, there are many options, but there's no denying the atmospheric conditions are forecast to be in a prime state for development of this tropical system by then.
There will be a closed high in the western Plains or Rockies and another closed high (Bermuda High) in the Atlantic, so the system will likely head for the weakness between them. Right now, that points to a huge swath from the Gulf of Mexico to Florida and even the entire East Coast. By early next week, we can begin to narrow down the cone of impact much better.
The yellow circled region shows the system in question and is forecast to become a major hurricane on the weather models by 7 days with an impact possible somewhere in the states by 10 days. Doesn't look like much now, but thats forecast to change by early next week.
No comments:
Post a Comment