Saturday, February 5, 2011

Another Major Winter Storm Looks Possible for Some, Likely For Others...

Yet another snowstorm is coming to Oklahoma, Kansas and Arkansas, and possibly further east and south. By next week, a new strong disturbance will be dropping into the Rockies , meanwhile Cold Arctic air will be spilling into the Country, all the way down to the Interstate 20 corridor in the Deep South, in the Wake of a powerful storm exiting the East Coast.
Here's where the forecast gets interesting. By Tuesday, the Rockies storm is forecast by all models to begin spreading into Oklahoma, Kansas and near the Red River. With very cold air in place, heavy snow is likely to set up an axis along an inverted trough near OKC to Tulsa, and a Gulf Low will begin to develop. The snow shield will begin to spread slowly toward the Tennessee Valley late Tuesday and from here we have differing opinions. The most reliable models, namely the European version, has consistently taken this storm across the Deep South, with another Major Winter Storm in many areas of the Deep south north of I-20. This may include Atlanta.  Other models lift the storm just north, which would mean rain for the Deep South and into the Carolinas, still other models are very weak, but much colder which would give light snow across the South. At this point, I'll keep options open to any of these.  At any rate, if the European is close to verifying, this will be a major if not catastrophic Winter storm in Georgia and the Carolinas especially, with that model showing strong cold air damming, and areas that change from snow to ice would be hit hard. Its impossible to nail down the rain /snow/ice line just yet, until we get a concensus on the exact track.  All this begins overnight for the Carolinas...roughly speaking and lasts well into Thursday.  The timing could change though.  The good news for those weary of cold and Wintry weather..Almost all models have the cold coming in after the storm lasting only a day or two, then we really begin to see a Spring Thaw!  Which would melt the snow quickly. Stay tuned!
Possible Storm Track
The Map is just a rough idea now...not to be construed exactly verbatim.

1 comment:

  1. Awesome write up!!! YAY!! Now Im excited to see what will happpen. I want one last good snow storm before spring ad hopefully this may be the one!!!

    Snow Girl
    Jennifer :)

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