Wednesday, December 15, 2010

A little bit of snow and sleet overnight, early Thursday

It now looks like a little snow and sleet accumulation is possible, but doesn't appear to be that big a deal yet. Snow is already on the west side of the mountains and the models have it arriving in Cleveland County around midnight or shortly after. The snow will be extremely light, and scattered, not widespread. So one part of the area may have flurries and another adjacent town have nothing. But eventually most everyone around the western Carolinas will have a little snow overnight, and by dawn it should already be changing over to sleet from west to east. Again, that won't be heavy, but with our cold ground and the temperatures remaining below freezing until around 9 or 10 am, everything that falls will stick. So , if youre in an area with a heavier batch of precipitation, some accumulations could make the roads slick in a hurry. The freezing rain threat is almost zilch. Our wind will be southerly and our temps will be rising very fast, so I'm expecting a direct shift from snow to sleet to rain.  Further north in NC, more snow and sleet, and into Virginia, they have a good chance for 3" or more of snow and then followed by a major ice storm, especially further west into western Virginia, extreme northwest NC foothills north of Wilkesboro, and into northeast Tennessee and eastern Kentucky. Some of those areas are looking at enough freezing rain to knock out power , possibly, unless most of the precip falls as snow and sleet.
The weekend storm , if any, is on shaky ground. I don't feel enough confidence to call for a major snow here, but I can't rule it out yet, just because the European model has lost it. We need another day to completely rule it out (and even if it does come back fully, still no guarantees in Cleveland County as our temps are likely to be borderline and won't be settled until later).
Enjoy the light snow overnight, and early morning. Drive carefully and keep a watch on the radars. The "virga" will be overhead for a few hours before anything hits the ground. These type of systems are sneaky.

1 comment:

  1. I continue to follow your forecasts and find them much better for "real life" planning than the hysteria we get from the TV forecasters.

    Thanks,

    HTA
    Rutherfordton

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